NBA Off a 15+ point win: Toronto Raptors: ATS Record Since 2007-08
The letdown spot. 257 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 118-135-4 (46.6%)
Straight up: 141-116 (54.9%)
Over/under: 126-129-2 (49.4% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.76 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2008-2017: 51-62 (45.1%); 2018-2027: 67-73 (47.9%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2026 | 6-11 | 35.3% |
| 2025 | 5-5 | 50.0% |
| 2024 | 3-4 | 42.9% |
| 2023 | 5-3-2 | 62.5% |
| 2022 | 7-8 | 46.7% |
| 2021 | 3-8 | 27.3% |
| 2020 | 9-10 | 47.4% |
| 2019 | 12-15 | 44.4% |
| 2018 | 16-8 | 66.7% |
| 2017 | 8-8 | 50.0% |
| 2016 | 8-8 | 50.0% |
| 2015 | 4-10 | 28.6% |
| 2014 | 7-4 | 63.6% |
| 2013 | 5-5 | 50.0% |
| 2012 | 2-5 | 28.6% |
| 2011 | 2-1-1 | 66.7% |
| 2010 | 4-4-1 | 50.0% |
| 2009 | 5-4 | 55.6% |
| 2008 | 6-13 | 31.6% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA off a 15+ point win for the Toronto Raptors?
118-135-4 against the spread (46.6%) in 257 team-games since 2007-08, 141-116 straight up and 126-129-2 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 51-62 (45.1%); 2018-2027: 67-73 (47.9%).