NBA Off a 15+ point win: Portland Trail Blazers: ATS Record Since 2007-08
The letdown spot. 212 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 103-104-5 (49.8%)
Straight up: 115-97 (54.2%)
Over/under: 114-96-2 (54.3% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.13 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -4.1%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 51-56 (47.7%); 2018-2027: 52-48 (52.0%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
Upcoming games that fit
- 2026-11-02: POR at DEN
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2026 | 8-7 | 53.3% |
| 2025 | 8-4-1 | 66.7% |
| 2024 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2023 | 4-5 | 44.4% |
| 2022 | 3-6 | 33.3% |
| 2021 | 6-9 | 40.0% |
| 2020 | 3-5-1 | 37.5% |
| 2019 | 12-4 | 75.0% |
| 2018 | 5-6-1 | 45.5% |
| 2017 | 6-5 | 54.5% |
| 2016 | 6-6 | 50.0% |
| 2015 | 8-11 | 42.1% |
| 2014 | 3-7 | 30.0% |
| 2013 | 5-2-1 | 71.4% |
| 2012 | 2-5 | 28.6% |
| 2011 | 3-3-1 | 50.0% |
| 2010 | 5-7 | 41.7% |
| 2009 | 12-6 | 66.7% |
| 2008 | 1-4 | 20.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA off a 15+ point win for the Portland Trail Blazers?
103-104-5 against the spread (49.8%) in 212 team-games since 2007-08, 115-97 straight up and 114-96-2 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -4.1%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 51-56 (47.7%); 2018-2027: 52-48 (52.0%).