NBA Off a 15+ point win: Phoenix Suns: ATS Record Since 2007-08
The letdown spot. 218 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 97-118-3 (45.1%)
Straight up: 119-99 (54.6%)
Over/under: 119-98-1 (54.8% overs)
Average cover margin: -1.07 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 4 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2008-2016: 43-54 (44.3%); 2017-2026: 54-64 (45.8%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 10-5 | 66.7% |
| 2025 | 1-5-1 | 16.7% |
| 2024 | 3-11 | 21.4% |
| 2023 | 7-9 | 43.8% |
| 2022 | 12-14 | 46.2% |
| 2021 | 13-9-1 | 59.1% |
| 2020 | 5-6 | 45.5% |
| 2019 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2017 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2016 | 3-4 | 42.9% |
| 2015 | 7-1 | 87.5% |
| 2014 | 2-7 | 22.2% |
| 2013 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2012 | 4-6 | 40.0% |
| 2011 | 3-5 | 37.5% |
| 2010 | 10-11 | 47.6% |
| 2009 | 6-7 | 46.2% |
| 2008 | 6-10-1 | 37.5% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA off a 15+ point win for the Phoenix Suns?
97-118-3 against the spread (45.1%) in 218 team-games since 2007-08, 119-99 straight up and 119-98-1 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 4 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
2008-2016: 43-54 (44.3%); 2017-2026: 54-64 (45.8%).