NBA Off a 15+ point win: Oklahoma City Thunder: ATS Record Since 2007-08
The letdown spot. 311 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 172-135-4 (56.0%)
Straight up: 208-103 (66.9%)
Over/under: 145-163-3 (47.1% overs)
Average cover margin: 1.03 points
Is it real?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 10 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2008-2017: 84-74 (53.2%); 2018-2026: 88-61 (59.1%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 16-17 | 48.5% |
| 2025 | 24-12-3 | 66.7% |
| 2024 | 15-7 | 68.2% |
| 2023 | 7-3 | 70.0% |
| 2022 | 4-0-1 | 100.0% |
| 2021 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2020 | 6-5 | 54.5% |
| 2019 | 12-5 | 70.6% |
| 2018 | 4-10 | 28.6% |
| 2017 | 9-4 | 69.2% |
| 2016 | 13-17 | 43.3% |
| 2015 | 9-3 | 75.0% |
| 2014 | 10-10 | 50.0% |
| 2013 | 17-12 | 58.6% |
| 2012 | 7-10 | 41.2% |
| 2011 | 10-7 | 58.8% |
| 2010 | 7-10 | 41.2% |
| 2009 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2008 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA off a 15+ point win for the Oklahoma City Thunder?
172-135-4 against the spread (56.0%) in 311 team-games since 2007-08, 208-103 straight up and 145-163-3 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 10 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 84-74 (53.2%); 2018-2026: 88-61 (59.1%).