NBA Off a 15+ point win: Minnesota Timberwolves: ATS Record Since 2007-08
The letdown spot. 188 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 82-102-4 (44.6%)
Straight up: 90-98 (47.9%)
Over/under: 102-85-1 (54.5% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.22 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 5 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2008-2017: 19-39 (32.8%); 2018-2027: 63-63 (50.0%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 4-0 | 100.0% |
| 2026 | 7-9 | 43.8% |
| 2025 | 10-14 | 41.7% |
| 2024 | 12-10-1 | 54.5% |
| 2023 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2022 | 10-9-1 | 52.6% |
| 2021 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2020 | 1-4-1 | 20.0% |
| 2019 | 5-5 | 50.0% |
| 2018 | 9-8 | 52.9% |
| 2017 | 2-9 | 18.2% |
| 2016 | 0-3 | 0.0% |
| 2015 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2014 | 7-10 | 41.2% |
| 2013 | 2-5 | 28.6% |
| 2012 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2011 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2010 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2009 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2008 | 2-1-1 | 66.7% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA off a 15+ point win for the Minnesota Timberwolves?
82-102-4 against the spread (44.6%) in 188 team-games since 2007-08, 90-98 straight up and 102-85-1 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 5 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 19-39 (32.8%); 2018-2027: 63-63 (50.0%).