NBA Off a 15+ point win: Milwaukee Bucks: ATS Record Since 2007-08
The letdown spot. 252 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 126-124-2 (50.4%)
Straight up: 146-106 (57.9%)
Over/under: 123-128-1 (49.0% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.68 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -3.8%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 39-40 (49.4%); 2018-2026: 87-84 (50.9%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3-8 | 27.3% |
| 2025 | 9-8 | 52.9% |
| 2024 | 8-7 | 53.3% |
| 2023 | 6-6-1 | 50.0% |
| 2022 | 12-13 | 48.0% |
| 2021 | 12-11 | 52.2% |
| 2020 | 14-13 | 51.9% |
| 2019 | 20-13 | 60.6% |
| 2018 | 3-5 | 37.5% |
| 2017 | 4-8 | 33.3% |
| 2016 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2015 | 5-6 | 45.5% |
| 2014 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2013 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2012 | 2-6 | 25.0% |
| 2011 | 5-5 | 50.0% |
| 2010 | 10-3-1 | 76.9% |
| 2009 | 7-4 | 63.6% |
| 2008 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA off a 15+ point win for the Milwaukee Bucks?
126-124-2 against the spread (50.4%) in 252 team-games since 2007-08, 146-106 straight up and 123-128-1 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -3.8%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 39-40 (49.4%); 2018-2026: 87-84 (50.9%).