NBA Off a 15+ point win: Los Angeles Lakers: ATS Record Since 2007-08
The letdown spot. 231 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 119-109-3 (52.2%)
Straight up: 156-75 (67.5%)
Over/under: 103-124-4 (45.4% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.83 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -0.4%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 61-56 (52.1%); 2018-2027: 58-53 (52.3%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2026 | 10-5 | 66.7% |
| 2025 | 10-6 | 62.5% |
| 2024 | 3-9 | 25.0% |
| 2023 | 3-5 | 37.5% |
| 2022 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2021 | 6-6 | 50.0% |
| 2020 | 12-9-1 | 57.1% |
| 2019 | 4-6 | 40.0% |
| 2018 | 8-1 | 88.9% |
| 2017 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2016 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2015 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2014 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2013 | 4-6-1 | 40.0% |
| 2012 | 3-4 | 42.9% |
| 2011 | 10-9 | 52.6% |
| 2010 | 12-8-1 | 60.0% |
| 2009 | 11-8 | 57.9% |
| 2008 | 15-12 | 55.6% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA off a 15+ point win for the Los Angeles Lakers?
119-109-3 against the spread (52.2%) in 231 team-games since 2007-08, 156-75 straight up and 103-124-4 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -0.4%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 61-56 (52.1%); 2018-2027: 58-53 (52.3%).