NBA Off a 15+ point win: Indiana Pacers: ATS Record Since 2007-08
The letdown spot. 224 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 111-109-4 (50.5%)
Straight up: 125-99 (55.8%)
Over/under: 106-116-2 (47.7% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.32 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -3.7%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 65-58 (52.8%); 2018-2027: 46-51 (47.4%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2026 | 5-1 | 83.3% |
| 2025 | 7-4-1 | 63.6% |
| 2024 | 8-10 | 44.4% |
| 2023 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2022 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2021 | 4-7 | 36.4% |
| 2020 | 2-6-1 | 25.0% |
| 2019 | 10-8 | 55.6% |
| 2018 | 7-8 | 46.7% |
| 2017 | 7-8 | 46.7% |
| 2016 | 7-4 | 63.6% |
| 2015 | 6-4 | 60.0% |
| 2014 | 12-9 | 57.1% |
| 2013 | 12-8 | 60.0% |
| 2012 | 6-9 | 40.0% |
| 2011 | 4-4-1 | 50.0% |
| 2010 | 6-4 | 60.0% |
| 2009 | 4-2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2008 | 1-6 | 14.3% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA off a 15+ point win for the Indiana Pacers?
111-109-4 against the spread (50.5%) in 224 team-games since 2007-08, 125-99 straight up and 106-116-2 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -3.7%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 65-58 (52.8%); 2018-2027: 46-51 (47.4%).