NBA Off a 15+ point win: Houston Rockets: ATS Record Since 2007-08

The letdown spot. 282 team-games since 2007-08.

Against the spread: 130-150-2 (46.4%)
Straight up: 163-119 (57.8%)
Over/under: 138-138-6 (50.0% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.34 points

Is it real?

Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2008-2017: 65-78 (45.5%); 2018-2027: 65-72 (47.4%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.

Upcoming games that fit

By season

SeasonATSCover %
20271-150.0%
20269-1145.0%
20257-943.8%
202411-3-178.6%
20230-30.0%
20222-250.0%
20211-516.7%
20209-852.9%
201910-1245.5%
201815-1845.5%
201710-1638.5%
20164-544.4%
20158-372.7%
20143-1318.8%
20138-850.0%
20124-544.4%
20118-753.3%
20103-537.5%
20094-11-126.7%
200813-572.2%

Questions

What is the ATS record of NBA off a 15+ point win for the Houston Rockets?

130-150-2 against the spread (46.4%) in 282 team-games since 2007-08, 163-119 straight up and 138-138-6 on the over/under.

Is this trend likely to be luck?

Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck.

Did it hold up?

2008-2017: 65-78 (45.5%); 2018-2027: 65-72 (47.4%).

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