NBA Off a 15+ point win: Golden State Warriors: ATS Record Since 2007-08
The letdown spot. 346 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 167-172-7 (49.3%)
Straight up: 223-123 (64.5%)
Over/under: 183-159-4 (53.5% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.62 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -3.1%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 90-88 (50.6%); 2018-2027: 77-84 (47.8%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2026 | 3-10 | 23.1% |
| 2025 | 11-6 | 64.7% |
| 2024 | 6-8 | 42.9% |
| 2023 | 5-8 | 38.5% |
| 2022 | 15-10-1 | 60.0% |
| 2021 | 9-7 | 56.3% |
| 2020 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2019 | 9-20-1 | 31.0% |
| 2018 | 15-13-1 | 53.6% |
| 2017 | 23-15-1 | 60.5% |
| 2016 | 19-16-2 | 54.3% |
| 2015 | 25-10 | 71.4% |
| 2014 | 6-13 | 31.6% |
| 2013 | 3-7 | 30.0% |
| 2012 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2011 | 1-6 | 14.3% |
| 2010 | 3-5-1 | 37.5% |
| 2009 | 3-4 | 42.9% |
| 2008 | 5-9 | 35.7% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA off a 15+ point win for the Golden State Warriors?
167-172-7 against the spread (49.3%) in 346 team-games since 2007-08, 223-123 straight up and 183-159-4 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -3.1%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 90-88 (50.6%); 2018-2027: 77-84 (47.8%).