NBA Off a 15+ point win: Dallas Mavericks: ATS Record Since 2007-08
The letdown spot. 233 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 119-111-3 (51.7%)
Straight up: 141-92 (60.5%)
Over/under: 118-113-2 (51.1% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.78 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -1.2%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 65-57 (53.3%); 2018-2027: 54-54 (50.0%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2026 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2025 | 4-7-1 | 36.4% |
| 2024 | 13-4 | 76.5% |
| 2023 | 3-6 | 33.3% |
| 2022 | 11-8-1 | 57.9% |
| 2021 | 5-8 | 38.5% |
| 2020 | 7-10-1 | 41.2% |
| 2019 | 3-6 | 33.3% |
| 2018 | 4-4 | 50.0% |
| 2017 | 3-4 | 42.9% |
| 2016 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2015 | 9-7 | 56.3% |
| 2014 | 5-5 | 50.0% |
| 2013 | 8-4 | 66.7% |
| 2012 | 4-4 | 50.0% |
| 2011 | 10-4 | 71.4% |
| 2010 | 7-5 | 58.3% |
| 2009 | 8-12 | 40.0% |
| 2008 | 10-9 | 52.6% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA off a 15+ point win for the Dallas Mavericks?
119-111-3 against the spread (51.7%) in 233 team-games since 2007-08, 141-92 straight up and 118-113-2 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -1.2%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 65-57 (53.3%); 2018-2027: 54-54 (50.0%).