NBA Off a 15+ point win: Boston Celtics: ATS Record Since 2007-08
The letdown spot. 351 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 171-174-6 (49.6%)
Straight up: 229-122 (65.2%)
Over/under: 160-182-9 (46.8% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.3 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -3.7%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 72-83 (46.5%); 2018-2027: 99-91 (52.1%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2026 | 15-11 | 57.7% |
| 2025 | 9-17 | 34.6% |
| 2024 | 17-11-2 | 60.7% |
| 2023 | 11-9 | 55.0% |
| 2022 | 12-16 | 42.9% |
| 2021 | 4-9 | 30.8% |
| 2020 | 14-7 | 66.7% |
| 2019 | 8-8-2 | 50.0% |
| 2018 | 9-2 | 81.8% |
| 2017 | 6-5 | 54.5% |
| 2016 | 6-11 | 35.3% |
| 2015 | 6-4 | 60.0% |
| 2014 | 0-4 | 0.0% |
| 2013 | 5-4-1 | 55.6% |
| 2012 | 5-7 | 41.7% |
| 2011 | 3-14 | 17.6% |
| 2010 | 6-12 | 33.3% |
| 2009 | 14-11-1 | 56.0% |
| 2008 | 21-11 | 65.6% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA off a 15+ point win for the Boston Celtics?
171-174-6 against the spread (49.6%) in 351 team-games since 2007-08, 229-122 straight up and 160-182-9 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -3.7%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 72-83 (46.5%); 2018-2027: 99-91 (52.1%).