NBA Off a 15+ point loss: Washington Wizards: ATS Record Since 2007-08
The bounce-back spot. 319 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 150-165-4 (47.6%)
Straight up: 115-204 (36.1%)
Over/under: 160-155-4 (50.8% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.38 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns 0.0%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 66-69 (48.9%); 2018-2026: 84-96 (46.7%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 15-23 | 39.5% |
| 2025 | 17-20 | 45.9% |
| 2024 | 12-11 | 52.2% |
| 2023 | 6-3 | 66.7% |
| 2022 | 6-9-1 | 40.0% |
| 2021 | 9-9 | 50.0% |
| 2020 | 8-8 | 50.0% |
| 2019 | 6-10 | 37.5% |
| 2018 | 5-3 | 62.5% |
| 2017 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2016 | 7-10 | 41.2% |
| 2015 | 4-6-2 | 40.0% |
| 2014 | 4-3 | 57.1% |
| 2013 | 6-3 | 66.7% |
| 2012 | 7-8 | 46.7% |
| 2011 | 12-12 | 50.0% |
| 2010 | 8-5 | 61.5% |
| 2009 | 7-14-1 | 33.3% |
| 2008 | 9-4 | 69.2% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA off a 15+ point loss for the Washington Wizards?
150-165-4 against the spread (47.6%) in 319 team-games since 2007-08, 115-204 straight up and 160-155-4 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns 0.0%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 66-69 (48.9%); 2018-2026: 84-96 (46.7%).