NBA Off a 15+ point loss: San Antonio Spurs: ATS Record Since 2007-08

The bounce-back spot. 177 team-games since 2007-08.

Against the spread: 96-77-4 (55.5%)
Straight up: 97-80 (54.8%)
Over/under: 101-74-2 (57.7% overs)
Average cover margin: 2.11 points

Is it real?

A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 5 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2008-2017: 30-22 (57.7%); 2018-2026: 66-55 (54.5%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.

By season

SeasonATSCover %
20262-0100.0%
20258-1044.4%
202413-668.4%
202312-1741.4%
20229-281.8%
20217-5-158.3%
20203-537.5%
20197-558.3%
20185-550.0%
20172-528.6%
20162-166.7%
20152-2-150.0%
20142-250.0%
20135-183.3%
20123-175.0%
20114-1-180.0%
20102-166.7%
20094-357.1%
20084-5-144.4%

Questions

What is the ATS record of NBA off a 15+ point loss for the San Antonio Spurs?

96-77-4 against the spread (55.5%) in 177 team-games since 2007-08, 97-80 straight up and 101-74-2 on the over/under.

Is this trend likely to be luck?

A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 5 times, so it is consistent with luck.

Did it hold up?

2008-2017: 30-22 (57.7%); 2018-2026: 66-55 (54.5%).

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