NBA Off a 15+ point loss: Portland Trail Blazers: ATS Record Since 2007-08
The bounce-back spot. 241 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 115-124-2 (48.1%)
Straight up: 108-133 (44.8%)
Over/under: 116-123-2 (48.5% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.9 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -0.9%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 46-53 (46.5%); 2018-2027: 69-71 (49.3%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2026 | 9-6 | 60.0% |
| 2025 | 8-13 | 38.1% |
| 2024 | 10-10 | 50.0% |
| 2023 | 12-7 | 63.2% |
| 2022 | 10-16-1 | 38.5% |
| 2021 | 6-6 | 50.0% |
| 2020 | 4-6 | 40.0% |
| 2019 | 4-3 | 57.1% |
| 2018 | 5-4 | 55.6% |
| 2017 | 6-8 | 42.9% |
| 2016 | 9-5 | 64.3% |
| 2015 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2014 | 3-5 | 37.5% |
| 2013 | 7-8 | 46.7% |
| 2012 | 7-5 | 58.3% |
| 2011 | 4-5-1 | 44.4% |
| 2010 | 2-5 | 28.6% |
| 2009 | 4-4 | 50.0% |
| 2008 | 3-5 | 37.5% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA off a 15+ point loss for the Portland Trail Blazers?
115-124-2 against the spread (48.1%) in 241 team-games since 2007-08, 108-133 straight up and 116-123-2 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -0.9%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 46-53 (46.5%); 2018-2027: 69-71 (49.3%).