NBA Off a 15+ point loss: Orlando Magic: ATS Record Since 2007-08
The bounce-back spot. 259 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 129-123-7 (51.2%)
Straight up: 94-165 (36.3%)
Over/under: 119-137-3 (46.5% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.33 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -2.3%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 56-54 (50.9%); 2018-2027: 73-69 (51.4%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2026 | 9-2 | 81.8% |
| 2025 | 2-10 | 16.7% |
| 2024 | 7-7 | 50.0% |
| 2023 | 8-5-1 | 61.5% |
| 2022 | 10-12 | 45.5% |
| 2021 | 11-13 | 45.8% |
| 2020 | 8-5-1 | 61.5% |
| 2019 | 7-7 | 50.0% |
| 2018 | 9-8 | 52.9% |
| 2017 | 9-13-1 | 40.9% |
| 2016 | 6-5 | 54.5% |
| 2015 | 7-9-1 | 43.8% |
| 2014 | 7-9-1 | 43.8% |
| 2013 | 8-10 | 44.4% |
| 2012 | 7-4 | 63.6% |
| 2011 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2010 | 2-1-2 | 66.7% |
| 2009 | 6-0 | 100.0% |
| 2008 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA off a 15+ point loss for the Orlando Magic?
129-123-7 against the spread (51.2%) in 259 team-games since 2007-08, 94-165 straight up and 119-137-3 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -2.3%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 56-54 (50.9%); 2018-2027: 73-69 (51.4%).