NBA Off a 15+ point loss: Oklahoma City Thunder: ATS Record Since 2007-08
The bounce-back spot. 176 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 86-87-3 (49.7%)
Straight up: 74-102 (42.0%)
Over/under: 88-85-3 (50.9% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.55 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -4.0%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 41-45 (47.7%); 2018-2027: 45-42 (51.7%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
Upcoming games that fit
- 2026-11-02: OKC at CLE
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2026 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2025 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2024 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2023 | 4-2 | 66.7% |
| 2022 | 12-9 | 57.1% |
| 2021 | 11-15 | 42.3% |
| 2020 | 6-3 | 66.7% |
| 2019 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2018 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2017 | 9-6-1 | 60.0% |
| 2016 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2015 | 1-5-1 | 16.7% |
| 2014 | 4-4 | 50.0% |
| 2013 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2012 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2011 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2010 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2009 | 6-10 | 37.5% |
| 2008 | 12-12-1 | 50.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA off a 15+ point loss for the Oklahoma City Thunder?
86-87-3 against the spread (49.7%) in 176 team-games since 2007-08, 74-102 straight up and 88-85-3 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -4.0%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 41-45 (47.7%); 2018-2027: 45-42 (51.7%).