NBA Off a 15+ point loss: New Orleans Pelicans: ATS Record Since 2007-08
The bounce-back spot. 237 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 118-115-4 (50.6%)
Straight up: 99-138 (41.8%)
Over/under: 119-114-4 (51.1% overs)
Average cover margin: 1.21 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -3.3%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 59-49 (54.6%); 2018-2026: 59-66 (47.2%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 9-8 | 52.9% |
| 2025 | 11-18 | 37.9% |
| 2024 | 7-3-1 | 70.0% |
| 2023 | 2-8 | 20.0% |
| 2022 | 8-11 | 42.1% |
| 2021 | 7-3 | 70.0% |
| 2020 | 6-2-1 | 75.0% |
| 2019 | 5-5 | 50.0% |
| 2018 | 4-8 | 33.3% |
| 2017 | 4-8 | 33.3% |
| 2016 | 6-8-1 | 42.9% |
| 2015 | 6-2 | 75.0% |
| 2014 | 4-8 | 33.3% |
| 2013 | 11-4 | 73.3% |
| 2012 | 4-5 | 44.4% |
| 2011 | 6-3-1 | 66.7% |
| 2010 | 7-4 | 63.6% |
| 2009 | 4-4 | 50.0% |
| 2008 | 7-3 | 70.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA off a 15+ point loss for the New Orleans Pelicans?
118-115-4 against the spread (50.6%) in 237 team-games since 2007-08, 99-138 straight up and 119-114-4 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -3.3%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 59-49 (54.6%); 2018-2026: 59-66 (47.2%).