NBA Off a 15+ point loss: Minnesota Timberwolves: ATS Record Since 2007-08
The bounce-back spot. 228 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 109-119 (47.8%)
Straight up: 82-146 (36.0%)
Over/under: 129-98-1 (56.8% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.82 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -0.4%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 69-75 (47.9%); 2018-2026: 40-44 (47.6%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 7-3 | 70.0% |
| 2025 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2024 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2023 | 4-4 | 50.0% |
| 2022 | 5-6 | 45.5% |
| 2021 | 11-8 | 57.9% |
| 2020 | 4-6 | 40.0% |
| 2019 | 3-7 | 30.0% |
| 2018 | 5-6 | 45.5% |
| 2017 | 3-4 | 42.9% |
| 2016 | 4-6 | 40.0% |
| 2015 | 7-12 | 36.8% |
| 2014 | 4-3 | 57.1% |
| 2013 | 10-7 | 58.8% |
| 2012 | 5-2 | 71.4% |
| 2011 | 6-11 | 35.3% |
| 2010 | 11-13 | 45.8% |
| 2009 | 7-8 | 46.7% |
| 2008 | 12-9 | 57.1% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA off a 15+ point loss for the Minnesota Timberwolves?
109-119 against the spread (47.8%) in 228 team-games since 2007-08, 82-146 straight up and 129-98-1 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -0.4%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 69-75 (47.9%); 2018-2026: 40-44 (47.6%).