NBA Off a 15+ point loss: Milwaukee Bucks: ATS Record Since 2007-08
The bounce-back spot. 223 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 106-115-2 (48.0%)
Straight up: 106-117 (47.5%)
Over/under: 108-114-1 (48.6% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.07 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -0.7%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 61-66 (48.0%); 2018-2027: 45-49 (47.9%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
Upcoming games that fit
- 2026-11-02: MIL at MIN
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2026 | 13-12 | 52.0% |
| 2025 | 4-5 | 44.4% |
| 2024 | 4-7 | 36.4% |
| 2023 | 7-5-1 | 58.3% |
| 2022 | 6-7 | 46.2% |
| 2021 | 3-4 | 42.9% |
| 2020 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2019 | 4-1 | 80.0% |
| 2018 | 2-6-1 | 25.0% |
| 2017 | 9-7 | 56.3% |
| 2016 | 6-11 | 35.3% |
| 2015 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2014 | 9-11 | 45.0% |
| 2013 | 8-3 | 72.7% |
| 2012 | 2-6 | 25.0% |
| 2011 | 4-3 | 57.1% |
| 2010 | 7-3 | 70.0% |
| 2009 | 4-6 | 40.0% |
| 2008 | 9-14 | 39.1% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA off a 15+ point loss for the Milwaukee Bucks?
106-115-2 against the spread (48.0%) in 223 team-games since 2007-08, 106-117 straight up and 108-114-1 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -0.7%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 61-66 (48.0%); 2018-2027: 45-49 (47.9%).