NBA Off a 15+ point loss: Memphis Grizzlies: ATS Record Since 2007-08
The bounce-back spot. 240 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 116-120-4 (49.2%)
Straight up: 100-140 (41.7%)
Over/under: 114-122-4 (48.3% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.57 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -2.9%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 52-61 (46.0%); 2018-2026: 64-59 (52.0%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 12-9 | 57.1% |
| 2025 | 4-4 | 50.0% |
| 2024 | 10-12 | 45.5% |
| 2023 | 4-4 | 50.0% |
| 2022 | 8-2 | 80.0% |
| 2021 | 7-3 | 70.0% |
| 2020 | 7-6 | 53.8% |
| 2019 | 6-8 | 42.9% |
| 2018 | 6-11 | 35.3% |
| 2017 | 5-5 | 50.0% |
| 2016 | 7-9 | 43.8% |
| 2015 | 4-5 | 44.4% |
| 2014 | 1-5-3 | 16.7% |
| 2013 | 4-3 | 57.1% |
| 2012 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2011 | 6-2-1 | 75.0% |
| 2010 | 5-9 | 35.7% |
| 2009 | 9-10 | 47.4% |
| 2008 | 9-12 | 42.9% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA off a 15+ point loss for the Memphis Grizzlies?
116-120-4 against the spread (49.2%) in 240 team-games since 2007-08, 100-140 straight up and 114-122-4 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -2.9%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 52-61 (46.0%); 2018-2026: 64-59 (52.0%).