NBA Off a 15+ point loss: Houston Rockets: ATS Record Since 2007-08
The bounce-back spot. 188 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 85-100-3 (45.9%)
Straight up: 81-107 (43.1%)
Over/under: 95-90-3 (51.4% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.29 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2008-2017: 36-30 (54.5%); 2018-2026: 49-70 (41.2%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2025 | 1-4 | 20.0% |
| 2024 | 5-6 | 45.5% |
| 2023 | 11-16 | 40.7% |
| 2022 | 11-14 | 44.0% |
| 2021 | 7-16 | 30.4% |
| 2020 | 4-5 | 44.4% |
| 2019 | 3-5 | 37.5% |
| 2018 | 4-2 | 66.7% |
| 2017 | 5-2 | 71.4% |
| 2016 | 4-7 | 36.4% |
| 2015 | 7-4 | 63.6% |
| 2014 | 4-2 | 66.7% |
| 2013 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2012 | 2-3-1 | 40.0% |
| 2011 | 0-2-1 | 0.0% |
| 2010 | 6-4 | 60.0% |
| 2009 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2008 | 2-3-1 | 40.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA off a 15+ point loss for the Houston Rockets?
85-100-3 against the spread (45.9%) in 188 team-games since 2007-08, 81-107 straight up and 95-90-3 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 36-30 (54.5%); 2018-2026: 49-70 (41.2%).