NBA Off a 15+ point loss: Golden State Warriors: ATS Record Since 2007-08
The bounce-back spot. 198 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 111-85-2 (56.6%)
Straight up: 100-98 (50.5%)
Over/under: 98-98-2 (50.0% overs)
Average cover margin: 1.83 points
Is it real?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 9 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2008-2017: 54-44 (55.1%); 2018-2027: 57-41 (58.2%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2026 | 7-5 | 58.3% |
| 2025 | 7-1-1 | 87.5% |
| 2024 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2023 | 4-3 | 57.1% |
| 2022 | 6-5 | 54.5% |
| 2021 | 7-8 | 46.7% |
| 2020 | 11-8-1 | 57.9% |
| 2019 | 4-5 | 44.4% |
| 2018 | 8-3 | 72.7% |
| 2017 | 1-5 | 16.7% |
| 2016 | 4-4 | 50.0% |
| 2015 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2014 | 6-0 | 100.0% |
| 2013 | 3-7 | 30.0% |
| 2012 | 6-5 | 54.5% |
| 2011 | 7-9 | 43.8% |
| 2010 | 12-3 | 80.0% |
| 2009 | 10-6 | 62.5% |
| 2008 | 5-4 | 55.6% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA off a 15+ point loss for the Golden State Warriors?
111-85-2 against the spread (56.6%) in 198 team-games since 2007-08, 100-98 straight up and 98-98-2 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 9 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 54-44 (55.1%); 2018-2027: 57-41 (58.2%).