NBA Off a 15+ point loss: Detroit Pistons: ATS Record Since 2007-08
The bounce-back spot. 255 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 131-121-3 (52.0%)
Straight up: 98-157 (38.4%)
Over/under: 128-123-4 (51.0% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.16 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -0.8%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 61-64 (48.8%); 2018-2026: 70-57 (55.1%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2025 | 6-3 | 66.7% |
| 2024 | 11-11-1 | 50.0% |
| 2023 | 13-11 | 54.2% |
| 2022 | 9-12 | 42.9% |
| 2021 | 11-2 | 84.6% |
| 2020 | 6-5 | 54.5% |
| 2019 | 3-8 | 27.3% |
| 2018 | 8-4 | 66.7% |
| 2017 | 7-9 | 43.8% |
| 2016 | 4-6 | 40.0% |
| 2015 | 5-2 | 71.4% |
| 2014 | 7-8 | 46.7% |
| 2013 | 8-8 | 50.0% |
| 2012 | 11-10 | 52.4% |
| 2011 | 10-3 | 76.9% |
| 2010 | 3-9-2 | 25.0% |
| 2009 | 2-6 | 25.0% |
| 2008 | 4-3 | 57.1% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA off a 15+ point loss for the Detroit Pistons?
131-121-3 against the spread (52.0%) in 255 team-games since 2007-08, 98-157 straight up and 128-123-4 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -0.8%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 61-64 (48.8%); 2018-2026: 70-57 (55.1%).