NBA Off a 15+ point loss: Denver Nuggets: ATS Record Since 2007-08
The bounce-back spot. 176 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 98-76-2 (56.3%)
Straight up: 98-78 (55.7%)
Over/under: 93-80-3 (53.8% overs)
Average cover margin: 1.91 points
Is it real?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 7 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2008-2017: 56-44 (56.0%); 2018-2027: 42-32 (56.8%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2026 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2025 | 6-3 | 66.7% |
| 2024 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2023 | 9-3 | 75.0% |
| 2022 | 4-5 | 44.4% |
| 2021 | 2-6 | 25.0% |
| 2020 | 6-2-1 | 75.0% |
| 2019 | 3-4 | 42.9% |
| 2018 | 5-5 | 50.0% |
| 2017 | 8-4-1 | 66.7% |
| 2016 | 8-5 | 61.5% |
| 2015 | 4-11 | 26.7% |
| 2014 | 6-8 | 42.9% |
| 2013 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2012 | 5-3 | 62.5% |
| 2011 | 5-2 | 71.4% |
| 2010 | 6-1 | 85.7% |
| 2009 | 5-3 | 62.5% |
| 2008 | 7-5 | 58.3% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA off a 15+ point loss for the Denver Nuggets?
98-76-2 against the spread (56.3%) in 176 team-games since 2007-08, 98-78 straight up and 93-80-3 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 7 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 56-44 (56.0%); 2018-2027: 42-32 (56.8%).