NBA Off a 15+ point loss: Dallas Mavericks: ATS Record Since 2007-08
The bounce-back spot. 207 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 130-74-3 (63.7%)
Straight up: 125-82 (60.4%)
Over/under: 94-111-2 (45.9% overs)
Average cover margin: 3.39 points
Is it real?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2,224 times. 2008-2017: 63-35 (64.3%); 2018-2027: 67-39 (63.2%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2026 | 10-6 | 62.5% |
| 2025 | 7-8 | 46.7% |
| 2024 | 10-5 | 66.7% |
| 2023 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2022 | 11-3 | 78.6% |
| 2021 | 6-6 | 50.0% |
| 2020 | 4-2 | 66.7% |
| 2019 | 7-4 | 63.6% |
| 2018 | 7-2-1 | 77.8% |
| 2017 | 9-6 | 60.0% |
| 2016 | 10-4 | 71.4% |
| 2015 | 4-6-1 | 40.0% |
| 2014 | 6-0 | 100.0% |
| 2013 | 12-3 | 80.0% |
| 2012 | 8-3 | 72.7% |
| 2011 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2010 | 1-7-1 | 12.5% |
| 2009 | 8-3 | 72.7% |
| 2008 | 5-1 | 83.3% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA off a 15+ point loss for the Dallas Mavericks?
130-74-3 against the spread (63.7%) in 207 team-games since 2007-08, 125-82 straight up and 94-111-2 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2,224 times.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 63-35 (64.3%); 2018-2027: 67-39 (63.2%).