NBA Off a 15+ point loss: Dallas Mavericks: ATS Record Since 2007-08

The bounce-back spot. 207 team-games since 2007-08.

Against the spread: 130-74-3 (63.7%)
Straight up: 125-82 (60.4%)
Over/under: 94-111-2 (45.9% overs)
Average cover margin: 3.39 points

Is it real?

A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2,224 times. 2008-2017: 63-35 (64.3%); 2018-2027: 67-39 (63.2%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.

By season

SeasonATSCover %
20272-0100.0%
202610-662.5%
20257-846.7%
202410-566.7%
20233-350.0%
202211-378.6%
20216-650.0%
20204-266.7%
20197-463.6%
20187-2-177.8%
20179-660.0%
201610-471.4%
20154-6-140.0%
20146-0100.0%
201312-380.0%
20128-372.7%
20110-20.0%
20101-7-112.5%
20098-372.7%
20085-183.3%

Questions

What is the ATS record of NBA off a 15+ point loss for the Dallas Mavericks?

130-74-3 against the spread (63.7%) in 207 team-games since 2007-08, 125-82 straight up and 94-111-2 on the over/under.

Is this trend likely to be luck?

A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2,224 times.

Did it hold up?

2008-2017: 63-35 (64.3%); 2018-2027: 67-39 (63.2%).

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