NBA Off a 15+ point loss: Cleveland Cavaliers: ATS Record Since 2007-08
The bounce-back spot. 240 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 102-133-5 (43.4%)
Straight up: 87-153 (36.3%)
Over/under: 129-109-2 (54.2% overs)
Average cover margin: -1.62 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 10 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2008-2017: 53-66 (44.5%); 2018-2026: 49-67 (42.2%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4-2 | 66.7% |
| 2025 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2024 | 6-2 | 75.0% |
| 2023 | 2-0-1 | 100.0% |
| 2022 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2021 | 7-22 | 24.1% |
| 2020 | 7-12-1 | 36.8% |
| 2019 | 14-16-1 | 46.7% |
| 2018 | 3-12 | 20.0% |
| 2017 | 2-9-1 | 18.2% |
| 2016 | 2-4-1 | 33.3% |
| 2015 | 4-7 | 36.4% |
| 2014 | 5-11 | 31.3% |
| 2013 | 8-4 | 66.7% |
| 2012 | 10-10 | 50.0% |
| 2011 | 9-15 | 37.5% |
| 2010 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2009 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2008 | 7-4 | 63.6% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA off a 15+ point loss for the Cleveland Cavaliers?
102-133-5 against the spread (43.4%) in 240 team-games since 2007-08, 87-153 straight up and 129-109-2 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 10 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 53-66 (44.5%); 2018-2026: 49-67 (42.2%).