NBA Off a 15+ point loss: Chicago Bulls: ATS Record Since 2007-08
The bounce-back spot. 254 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 121-126-7 (49.0%)
Straight up: 100-154 (39.4%)
Over/under: 128-124-2 (50.8% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.9 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -2.6%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 51-49 (51.0%); 2018-2027: 70-77 (47.6%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2026 | 9-12 | 42.9% |
| 2025 | 11-10 | 52.4% |
| 2024 | 11-3 | 78.6% |
| 2023 | 5-6 | 45.5% |
| 2022 | 5-12-1 | 29.4% |
| 2021 | 4-6 | 40.0% |
| 2020 | 2-5-1 | 28.6% |
| 2019 | 12-13 | 48.0% |
| 2018 | 9-10-2 | 47.4% |
| 2017 | 9-5 | 64.3% |
| 2016 | 5-8 | 38.5% |
| 2015 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2014 | 7-3-1 | 70.0% |
| 2013 | 6-7 | 46.2% |
| 2012 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2011 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2010 | 5-9-1 | 35.7% |
| 2009 | 7-2-1 | 77.8% |
| 2008 | 6-9 | 40.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA off a 15+ point loss for the Chicago Bulls?
121-126-7 against the spread (49.0%) in 254 team-games since 2007-08, 100-154 straight up and 128-124-2 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -2.6%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 51-49 (51.0%); 2018-2027: 70-77 (47.6%).