NBA Off a 15+ point loss: Boston Celtics: ATS Record Since 2007-08
The bounce-back spot. 123 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 60-60-3 (50.0%)
Straight up: 64-59 (52.0%)
Over/under: 61-60-2 (50.4% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.46 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -4.5%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 37-37 (50.0%); 2018-2026: 23-23 (50.0%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2025 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2024 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2023 | 2-4-1 | 33.3% |
| 2022 | 5-2 | 71.4% |
| 2021 | 2-5 | 28.6% |
| 2020 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2019 | 1-4 | 20.0% |
| 2018 | 3-2-2 | 60.0% |
| 2017 | 8-3 | 72.7% |
| 2016 | 4-4 | 50.0% |
| 2015 | 4-3 | 57.1% |
| 2014 | 4-8 | 33.3% |
| 2013 | 2-9 | 18.2% |
| 2012 | 2-5 | 28.6% |
| 2011 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2010 | 5-2 | 71.4% |
| 2009 | 4-0 | 100.0% |
| 2008 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA off a 15+ point loss for the Boston Celtics?
60-60-3 against the spread (50.0%) in 123 team-games since 2007-08, 64-59 straight up and 61-60-2 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -4.5%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 37-37 (50.0%); 2018-2026: 23-23 (50.0%).