NBA Off a 15+ point loss: Atlanta Hawks: ATS Record Since 2007-08
The bounce-back spot. 246 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 118-126-2 (48.4%)
Straight up: 105-141 (42.7%)
Over/under: 132-112-2 (54.1% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.69 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -1.4%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 54-57 (48.6%); 2018-2026: 64-69 (48.1%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
Upcoming games that fit
- 2026-11-02: ATL at IND
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 7-9 | 43.8% |
| 2025 | 7-7 | 50.0% |
| 2024 | 1-10 | 9.1% |
| 2023 | 6-5 | 54.5% |
| 2022 | 3-6 | 33.3% |
| 2021 | 4-5 | 44.4% |
| 2020 | 11-9 | 55.0% |
| 2019 | 15-10 | 60.0% |
| 2018 | 10-8 | 55.6% |
| 2017 | 7-9 | 43.8% |
| 2016 | 3-5 | 37.5% |
| 2015 | 5-2 | 71.4% |
| 2014 | 6-5-1 | 54.5% |
| 2013 | 7-5 | 58.3% |
| 2012 | 3-5 | 37.5% |
| 2011 | 7-7 | 50.0% |
| 2010 | 7-4 | 63.6% |
| 2009 | 5-6-1 | 45.5% |
| 2008 | 4-9 | 30.8% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA off a 15+ point loss for the Atlanta Hawks?
118-126-2 against the spread (48.4%) in 246 team-games since 2007-08, 105-141 straight up and 132-112-2 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -1.4%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 54-57 (48.6%); 2018-2026: 64-69 (48.1%).