NBA On a 4+ game losing streak: Miami Heat: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Cold teams. 82 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 43-38-1 (53.1%)
Straight up: 33-49 (40.2%)
Over/under: 40-42 (48.8% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.24 points
Is it real?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2008-2019: 30-24 (55.6%); 2021-2027: 13-14 (48.1%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2026 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2025 | 4-4 | 50.0% |
| 2024 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2023 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2022 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2021 | 1-4 | 20.0% |
| 2019 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2018 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2017 | 7-2 | 77.8% |
| 2016 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2015 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2011 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2010 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2008 | 15-17-1 | 46.9% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA on a 4+ game losing streak for the Miami Heat?
43-38-1 against the spread (53.1%) in 82 team-games since 2007-08, 33-49 straight up and 40-42 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
2008-2019: 30-24 (55.6%); 2021-2027: 13-14 (48.1%).