NBA On a 4+ game losing streak: ATS Record Since 2007-08

Cold teams. 4,295 team-games since 2007-08.

Against the spread: 2117-2115-63 (50.0%)
Straight up: 1495-2800 (34.8%)
Over/under: 2127-2125-43 (50.0% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.31 points

Is it real?

Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -4.5%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 1148-1126 (50.5%); 2018-2027: 969-989 (49.5%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.

Upcoming games that fit

By season

SeasonATSCover %
20273-442.9%
2026138-13251.1%
2025117-124-348.5%
2024111-124-347.2%
202394-105-347.2%
2022120-98-555.0%
202189-88-150.3%
202085-118-341.9%
2019102-98-351.0%
2018110-98-652.9%
2017105-86-155.0%
2016114-100-153.3%
2015136-134-650.4%
2014121-103-454.0%
2013115-125-147.9%
201287-91-148.9%
2011125-114-652.3%
2010107-139-843.5%
2009120-113-451.5%
2008118-121-449.4%

By team

Atlanta Hawks · Brooklyn Nets · Boston Celtics · Charlotte Hornets · Chicago Bulls · Cleveland Cavaliers · Dallas Mavericks · Denver Nuggets · Detroit Pistons · Golden State Warriors · Houston Rockets · Indiana Pacers · LA Clippers · Los Angeles Lakers · Memphis Grizzlies · Miami Heat · Milwaukee Bucks · Minnesota Timberwolves · New Orleans Pelicans · New York Knicks · Oklahoma City Thunder · Orlando Magic · Philadelphia 76ers · Phoenix Suns · Portland Trail Blazers · San Antonio Spurs · Sacramento Kings · Toronto Raptors · Utah Jazz · Washington Wizards

Questions

What is the ATS record of NBA on a 4+ game losing streak?

2117-2115-63 against the spread (50.0%) in 4,295 team-games since 2007-08, 1495-2800 straight up and 2127-2125-43 on the over/under.

Is this trend likely to be luck?

Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -4.5%), so there is no edge to explain.

Did it hold up?

2008-2017: 1148-1126 (50.5%); 2018-2027: 969-989 (49.5%).

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