NBA Home underdogs: Washington Wizards: ATS Record Since 2007-08

Teams getting points at home. 399 team-games since 2007-08.

Against the spread: 197-198-4 (49.9%)
Straight up: 139-260 (34.8%)
Over/under: 209-183-7 (53.3% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.73 points

Is it real?

Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -4.3%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 92-90 (50.5%); 2018-2027: 105-108 (49.3%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.

By season

SeasonATSCover %
20271-150.0%
202616-2044.4%
202517-2045.9%
202413-19-140.6%
202310-12-145.5%
202210-1147.6%
202113-1056.5%
202011-761.1%
20198-561.5%
20186-366.7%
20175-362.5%
20169-660.0%
20153-537.5%
20147-6-153.8%
201318-772.0%
20129-12-142.9%
201112-1446.2%
201011-1444.0%
200912-1544.4%
20086-842.9%

Questions

What is the ATS record of NBA home underdogs for the Washington Wizards?

197-198-4 against the spread (49.9%) in 399 team-games since 2007-08, 139-260 straight up and 209-183-7 on the over/under.

Is this trend likely to be luck?

Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -4.3%), so there is no edge to explain.

Did it hold up?

2008-2017: 92-90 (50.5%); 2018-2027: 105-108 (49.3%).

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