NBA Home underdogs: Oklahoma City Thunder: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Teams getting points at home. 207 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 103-96-8 (51.8%)
Straight up: 67-140 (32.4%)
Over/under: 101-104-2 (49.3% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.87 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -1.2%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 48-41 (53.9%); 2018-2026: 55-55 (50.0%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2024 | 4-2 | 66.7% |
| 2023 | 10-9 | 52.6% |
| 2022 | 19-15-4 | 55.9% |
| 2021 | 12-23 | 34.3% |
| 2020 | 6-5 | 54.5% |
| 2019 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2018 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2017 | 4-4 | 50.0% |
| 2016 | 2-1-1 | 66.7% |
| 2015 | 6-2 | 75.0% |
| 2014 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2012 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2011 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2010 | 3-4 | 42.9% |
| 2009 | 17-11-2 | 60.7% |
| 2008 | 14-17-1 | 45.2% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA home underdogs for the Oklahoma City Thunder?
103-96-8 against the spread (51.8%) in 207 team-games since 2007-08, 67-140 straight up and 101-104-2 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -1.2%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 48-41 (53.9%); 2018-2026: 55-55 (50.0%).