NBA Home underdogs: Minnesota Timberwolves: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Teams getting points at home. 349 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 149-195-5 (43.3%)
Straight up: 99-250 (28.4%)
Over/under: 162-181-6 (47.2% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.63 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 19 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2008-2017: 90-138 (39.5%); 2018-2026: 59-57 (50.9%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3-4 | 42.9% |
| 2025 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2024 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2023 | 11-5 | 68.8% |
| 2022 | 7-8 | 46.7% |
| 2021 | 15-15 | 50.0% |
| 2020 | 3-11 | 21.4% |
| 2019 | 10-7 | 58.8% |
| 2018 | 4-5 | 44.4% |
| 2017 | 9-8 | 52.9% |
| 2016 | 8-15-1 | 34.8% |
| 2015 | 12-19 | 38.7% |
| 2014 | 4-6 | 40.0% |
| 2013 | 7-10-1 | 41.2% |
| 2012 | 9-6-1 | 60.0% |
| 2011 | 9-18 | 33.3% |
| 2010 | 15-17-1 | 46.9% |
| 2009 | 7-21 | 25.0% |
| 2008 | 10-18-1 | 35.7% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA home underdogs for the Minnesota Timberwolves?
149-195-5 against the spread (43.3%) in 349 team-games since 2007-08, 99-250 straight up and 162-181-6 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 19 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 90-138 (39.5%); 2018-2026: 59-57 (50.9%).