NBA Home underdogs: Minnesota Timberwolves: ATS Record Since 2007-08

Teams getting points at home. 349 team-games since 2007-08.

Against the spread: 149-195-5 (43.3%)
Straight up: 99-250 (28.4%)
Over/under: 162-181-6 (47.2% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.63 points

Is it real?

Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 19 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2008-2017: 90-138 (39.5%); 2018-2026: 59-57 (50.9%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.

By season

SeasonATSCover %
20263-442.9%
20253-260.0%
20243-0100.0%
202311-568.8%
20227-846.7%
202115-1550.0%
20203-1121.4%
201910-758.8%
20184-544.4%
20179-852.9%
20168-15-134.8%
201512-1938.7%
20144-640.0%
20137-10-141.2%
20129-6-160.0%
20119-1833.3%
201015-17-146.9%
20097-2125.0%
200810-18-135.7%

Questions

What is the ATS record of NBA home underdogs for the Minnesota Timberwolves?

149-195-5 against the spread (43.3%) in 349 team-games since 2007-08, 99-250 straight up and 162-181-6 on the over/under.

Is this trend likely to be luck?

Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 19 times, so it is consistent with luck.

Did it hold up?

2008-2017: 90-138 (39.5%); 2018-2026: 59-57 (50.9%).

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