NBA Home underdogs: Milwaukee Bucks: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Teams getting points at home. 229 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 109-120 (47.6%)
Straight up: 82-147 (35.8%)
Over/under: 129-99-1 (56.6% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.04 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2008-2017: 83-91 (47.7%); 2018-2027: 26-29 (47.3%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2026 | 12-13 | 48.0% |
| 2025 | 4-4 | 50.0% |
| 2024 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2023 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2022 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2021 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2019 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2018 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2017 | 6-5 | 54.5% |
| 2016 | 11-10 | 52.4% |
| 2015 | 10-11 | 47.6% |
| 2014 | 14-21 | 40.0% |
| 2013 | 3-8 | 27.3% |
| 2012 | 6-7 | 46.2% |
| 2011 | 7-6 | 53.8% |
| 2010 | 5-4 | 55.6% |
| 2009 | 7-9 | 43.8% |
| 2008 | 14-10 | 58.3% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA home underdogs for the Milwaukee Bucks?
109-120 against the spread (47.6%) in 229 team-games since 2007-08, 82-147 straight up and 129-99-1 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 83-91 (47.7%); 2018-2027: 26-29 (47.3%).