NBA Home underdogs: Dallas Mavericks: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Teams getting points at home. 221 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 112-107-2 (51.1%)
Straight up: 87-134 (39.4%)
Over/under: 106-112-3 (48.6% overs)
Average cover margin: 1.59 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -2.4%), so there is no edge to explain. 2009-2018: 51-54 (48.6%); 2019-2027: 61-53 (53.5%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2026 | 15-13 | 53.6% |
| 2025 | 8-9 | 47.1% |
| 2024 | 6-7 | 46.2% |
| 2023 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2022 | 9-5 | 64.3% |
| 2021 | 5-7 | 41.7% |
| 2020 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2019 | 13-5 | 72.2% |
| 2018 | 13-10-2 | 56.5% |
| 2017 | 14-12 | 53.8% |
| 2016 | 7-8 | 46.7% |
| 2015 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2014 | 5-5 | 50.0% |
| 2013 | 5-6 | 45.5% |
| 2012 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2011 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2010 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2009 | 1-4 | 20.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA home underdogs for the Dallas Mavericks?
112-107-2 against the spread (51.1%) in 221 team-games since 2007-08, 87-134 straight up and 106-112-3 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -2.4%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2009-2018: 51-54 (48.6%); 2019-2027: 61-53 (53.5%).