NBA Division underdogs: Orlando Magic: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Getting points against a division rival. 159 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 76-80-3 (48.7%)
Straight up: 48-111 (30.2%)
Over/under: 78-80-1 (49.4% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.16 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -2.1%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 40-38 (51.3%); 2018-2026: 36-42 (46.2%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2025 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2024 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2023 | 6-7 | 46.2% |
| 2022 | 7-9 | 43.8% |
| 2021 | 4-5-1 | 44.4% |
| 2020 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2019 | 6-4 | 60.0% |
| 2018 | 6-9 | 40.0% |
| 2017 | 7-7 | 50.0% |
| 2016 | 5-7 | 41.7% |
| 2015 | 9-6 | 60.0% |
| 2014 | 6-7-2 | 46.2% |
| 2013 | 6-6 | 50.0% |
| 2012 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2011 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2010 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2009 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2008 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA division underdogs for the Orlando Magic?
76-80-3 against the spread (48.7%) in 159 team-games since 2007-08, 48-111 straight up and 78-80-1 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -2.1%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 40-38 (51.3%); 2018-2026: 36-42 (46.2%).