NBA Division underdogs: Minnesota Timberwolves: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Getting points against a division rival. 194 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 101-89-4 (53.2%)
Straight up: 50-144 (25.8%)
Over/under: 104-88-2 (54.2% overs)
Average cover margin: 1.11 points
Is it real?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2008-2017: 55-63 (46.6%); 2018-2026: 46-26 (63.9%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 5-3 | 62.5% |
| 2025 | 6-1 | 85.7% |
| 2024 | 4-2 | 66.7% |
| 2023 | 5-3 | 62.5% |
| 2022 | 5-1 | 83.3% |
| 2021 | 6-3-1 | 66.7% |
| 2020 | 4-3-1 | 57.1% |
| 2019 | 7-6 | 53.8% |
| 2018 | 4-4 | 50.0% |
| 2017 | 6-5 | 54.5% |
| 2016 | 6-4 | 60.0% |
| 2015 | 7-6-1 | 53.8% |
| 2014 | 1-4 | 20.0% |
| 2013 | 4-8 | 33.3% |
| 2012 | 7-4 | 63.6% |
| 2011 | 5-9 | 35.7% |
| 2010 | 8-7-1 | 53.3% |
| 2009 | 7-7 | 50.0% |
| 2008 | 4-9 | 30.8% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA division underdogs for the Minnesota Timberwolves?
101-89-4 against the spread (53.2%) in 194 team-games since 2007-08, 50-144 straight up and 104-88-2 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 55-63 (46.6%); 2018-2026: 46-26 (63.9%).