NBA Division underdogs: Milwaukee Bucks: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Getting points against a division rival. 143 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 73-69-1 (51.4%)
Straight up: 44-99 (30.8%)
Over/under: 80-62-1 (56.3% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.5 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -1.9%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2016: 51-48 (51.5%); 2017-2027: 22-21 (51.2%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2026 | 8-3 | 72.7% |
| 2025 | 4-2 | 66.7% |
| 2024 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2023 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2022 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2020 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2018 | 1-5-1 | 16.7% |
| 2017 | 7-4 | 63.6% |
| 2016 | 6-7 | 46.2% |
| 2015 | 10-8 | 55.6% |
| 2014 | 9-7 | 56.3% |
| 2013 | 4-2 | 66.7% |
| 2012 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2011 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2010 | 6-2 | 75.0% |
| 2009 | 3-9 | 25.0% |
| 2008 | 9-6 | 60.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA division underdogs for the Milwaukee Bucks?
73-69-1 against the spread (51.4%) in 143 team-games since 2007-08, 44-99 straight up and 80-62-1 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -1.9%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2016: 51-48 (51.5%); 2017-2027: 22-21 (51.2%).