NBA Division underdogs: Indiana Pacers: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Getting points against a division rival. 160 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 79-76-5 (51.0%)
Straight up: 44-116 (27.5%)
Over/under: 76-80-4 (48.7% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.46 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -2.7%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 39-38 (50.6%); 2018-2026: 40-38 (51.3%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 10-5 | 66.7% |
| 2025 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2024 | 5-2 | 71.4% |
| 2023 | 7-4 | 63.6% |
| 2022 | 4-7 | 36.4% |
| 2021 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2020 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2019 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2018 | 8-6 | 57.1% |
| 2017 | 5-6-1 | 45.5% |
| 2016 | 7-1 | 87.5% |
| 2015 | 5-2-1 | 71.4% |
| 2014 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2013 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2012 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2011 | 6-4-2 | 60.0% |
| 2010 | 4-5-1 | 44.4% |
| 2009 | 6-5 | 54.5% |
| 2008 | 2-8 | 20.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA division underdogs for the Indiana Pacers?
79-76-5 against the spread (51.0%) in 160 team-games since 2007-08, 44-116 straight up and 76-80-4 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -2.7%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 39-38 (50.6%); 2018-2026: 40-38 (51.3%).