NBA Division underdogs: Golden State Warriors: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Getting points against a division rival. 128 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 65-62-1 (51.2%)
Straight up: 37-91 (28.9%)
Over/under: 65-62-1 (51.2% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.14 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -2.3%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2015: 39-31 (55.7%); 2020-2027: 26-31 (45.6%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2026 | 2-5 | 28.6% |
| 2025 | 2-5 | 28.6% |
| 2024 | 6-2 | 75.0% |
| 2023 | 1-4 | 20.0% |
| 2022 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2021 | 5-7 | 41.7% |
| 2020 | 5-6 | 45.5% |
| 2015 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2014 | 4-5 | 44.4% |
| 2013 | 5-3-1 | 62.5% |
| 2012 | 8-4 | 66.7% |
| 2011 | 4-6 | 40.0% |
| 2010 | 9-2 | 81.8% |
| 2009 | 6-4 | 60.0% |
| 2008 | 2-5 | 28.6% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA division underdogs for the Golden State Warriors?
65-62-1 against the spread (51.2%) in 128 team-games since 2007-08, 37-91 straight up and 65-62-1 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -2.3%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2015: 39-31 (55.7%); 2020-2027: 26-31 (45.6%).