NBA Division underdogs: Denver Nuggets: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Getting points against a division rival. 136 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 75-59-2 (56.0%)
Straight up: 42-94 (30.9%)
Over/under: 75-60-1 (55.6% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.51 points
Is it real?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 5 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2008-2017: 42-38 (52.5%); 2018-2027: 33-21 (61.1%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2026 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2025 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2024 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2023 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2022 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2021 | 3-4 | 42.9% |
| 2020 | 8-3 | 72.7% |
| 2019 | 8-3 | 72.7% |
| 2018 | 5-3 | 62.5% |
| 2017 | 5-4-1 | 55.6% |
| 2016 | 7-7 | 50.0% |
| 2015 | 3-5 | 37.5% |
| 2014 | 7-4 | 63.6% |
| 2013 | 6-1 | 85.7% |
| 2012 | 1-5 | 16.7% |
| 2011 | 6-4 | 60.0% |
| 2010 | 3-4-1 | 42.9% |
| 2009 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2008 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA division underdogs for the Denver Nuggets?
75-59-2 against the spread (56.0%) in 136 team-games since 2007-08, 42-94 straight up and 75-60-1 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 5 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 42-38 (52.5%); 2018-2027: 33-21 (61.1%).