NBA Division underdogs: Dallas Mavericks: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Getting points against a division rival. 153 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 79-72-2 (52.3%)
Straight up: 48-105 (31.4%)
Over/under: 70-79-4 (47.0% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.99 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -0.1%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 49-45 (52.1%); 2018-2027: 30-27 (52.6%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2026 | 4-6 | 40.0% |
| 2025 | 1-6 | 14.3% |
| 2024 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2023 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2022 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2021 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2020 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2019 | 6-4 | 60.0% |
| 2018 | 8-5-2 | 61.5% |
| 2017 | 9-6 | 60.0% |
| 2016 | 5-5 | 50.0% |
| 2015 | 4-6 | 40.0% |
| 2014 | 11-4 | 73.3% |
| 2013 | 5-4 | 55.6% |
| 2012 | 1-4 | 20.0% |
| 2011 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2010 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2009 | 5-7 | 41.7% |
| 2008 | 4-3 | 57.1% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA division underdogs for the Dallas Mavericks?
79-72-2 against the spread (52.3%) in 153 team-games since 2007-08, 48-105 straight up and 70-79-4 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -0.1%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 49-45 (52.1%); 2018-2027: 30-27 (52.6%).