NBA Underdogs of 10+: Miami Heat: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Getting double digits. 64 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 38-22-4 (63.3%)
Straight up: 12-52 (18.8%)
Over/under: 25-37-2 (40.3% overs)
Average cover margin: 3.1 points
Is it real?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 24 times. 2008-2017: 28-18 (60.9%); 2018-2026: 10-4 (71.4%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2025 | 2-0-1 | 100.0% |
| 2022 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2020 | 1-0-1 | 100.0% |
| 2019 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2018 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2017 | 4-1 | 80.0% |
| 2016 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2015 | 1-2-1 | 33.3% |
| 2010 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2009 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2008 | 15-10-1 | 60.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA underdogs of 10+ for the Miami Heat?
38-22-4 against the spread (63.3%) in 64 team-games since 2007-08, 12-52 straight up and 25-37-2 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 24 times.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 28-18 (60.9%); 2018-2026: 10-4 (71.4%).