NBA Underdogs of 10+: Golden State Warriors: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Getting double digits. 94 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 47-47 (50.0%)
Straight up: 11-83 (11.7%)
Over/under: 44-50 (46.8% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.44 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -4.5%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 26-27 (49.1%); 2020-2026: 21-20 (51.2%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4-5 | 44.4% |
| 2025 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2024 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2023 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2022 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2021 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2020 | 13-10 | 56.5% |
| 2017 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2014 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2013 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2012 | 6-1 | 85.7% |
| 2011 | 3-7 | 30.0% |
| 2010 | 10-6 | 62.5% |
| 2009 | 6-9 | 40.0% |
| 2008 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA underdogs of 10+ for the Golden State Warriors?
47-47 against the spread (50.0%) in 94 team-games since 2007-08, 11-83 straight up and 44-50 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -4.5%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 26-27 (49.1%); 2020-2026: 21-20 (51.2%).