NBA Underdogs of 10+: Denver Nuggets: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Getting double digits. 57 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 36-19-2 (65.5%)
Straight up: 15-42 (26.3%)
Over/under: 29-27-1 (51.8% overs)
Average cover margin: 3.52 points
Is it real?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 43 times. 2008-2017: 25-14 (64.1%); 2018-2026: 11-5 (68.8%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2025 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2024 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2023 | 4-1 | 80.0% |
| 2022 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2020 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2018 | 0-0-1 | — |
| 2017 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2016 | 7-4 | 63.6% |
| 2015 | 8-3 | 72.7% |
| 2014 | 6-3 | 66.7% |
| 2010 | 0-0-1 | — |
| 2009 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2008 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA underdogs of 10+ for the Denver Nuggets?
36-19-2 against the spread (65.5%) in 57 team-games since 2007-08, 15-42 straight up and 29-27-1 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 43 times.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 25-14 (64.1%); 2018-2026: 11-5 (68.8%).