NBA Underdogs of 10+: Dallas Mavericks: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Getting double digits. 85 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 44-40-1 (52.4%)
Straight up: 12-73 (14.1%)
Over/under: 43-42 (50.6% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.14 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns 0.0%), so there is no edge to explain. 2009-2019: 26-23 (53.1%); 2020-2027: 18-17 (51.4%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2026 | 11-8 | 57.9% |
| 2025 | 3-6 | 33.3% |
| 2024 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2023 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2022 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2020 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2019 | 8-2 | 80.0% |
| 2018 | 5-9 | 35.7% |
| 2017 | 5-4-1 | 55.6% |
| 2016 | 3-5 | 37.5% |
| 2015 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2013 | 4-1 | 80.0% |
| 2009 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA underdogs of 10+ for the Dallas Mavericks?
44-40-1 against the spread (52.4%) in 85 team-games since 2007-08, 12-73 straight up and 43-42 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns 0.0%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2009-2019: 26-23 (53.1%); 2020-2027: 18-17 (51.4%).