NBA Home favorites of 10+: Phoenix Suns: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Laying double digits at home. 104 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 51-52-1 (49.5%)
Straight up: 93-11 (89.4%)
Over/under: 50-52-2 (49.0% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.64 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -3.6%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2016: 28-20 (58.3%); 2020-2026: 23-32 (41.8%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2025 | 0-4 | 0.0% |
| 2024 | 2-5 | 28.6% |
| 2023 | 5-5 | 50.0% |
| 2022 | 7-10 | 41.2% |
| 2021 | 6-4 | 60.0% |
| 2020 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2016 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2015 | 4-1 | 80.0% |
| 2014 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2012 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2011 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2010 | 7-4 | 63.6% |
| 2009 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2008 | 8-9-1 | 47.1% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA home favorites of 10+ for the Phoenix Suns?
51-52-1 against the spread (49.5%) in 104 team-games since 2007-08, 93-11 straight up and 50-52-2 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -3.6%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2016: 28-20 (58.3%); 2020-2026: 23-32 (41.8%).