NBA Home favorites of 10+: Oklahoma City Thunder: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Laying double digits at home. 192 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 100-87-5 (53.5%)
Straight up: 172-20 (89.6%)
Over/under: 90-102 (46.9% overs)
Average cover margin: 1.53 points
Is it real?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2010-2017: 52-48 (52.0%); 2018-2027: 48-39 (55.2%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2026 | 12-14 | 46.2% |
| 2025 | 14-7-2 | 66.7% |
| 2024 | 12-2 | 85.7% |
| 2023 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2020 | 0-3 | 0.0% |
| 2019 | 5-6 | 45.5% |
| 2018 | 4-5-1 | 44.4% |
| 2017 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2016 | 12-11 | 52.2% |
| 2015 | 2-5 | 28.6% |
| 2014 | 9-9-1 | 50.0% |
| 2013 | 16-8 | 66.7% |
| 2012 | 7-7 | 50.0% |
| 2011 | 3-5-1 | 37.5% |
| 2010 | 0-3 | 0.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA home favorites of 10+ for the Oklahoma City Thunder?
100-87-5 against the spread (53.5%) in 192 team-games since 2007-08, 172-20 straight up and 90-102 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
2010-2017: 52-48 (52.0%); 2018-2027: 48-39 (55.2%).